Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 2
IMO
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UAR
1 - 1
SSS
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 1
FAN
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
VIS
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
SSS
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |