Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAL
37%
32%
31%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
GEN
4 - 0
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
MOD
3 - 2
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
ATL
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VAR
2 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 2
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
INT
3 - 0
SSS
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |