Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 2
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
GEN
5 - 1
MOD
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MES
4 - 1
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
USA
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
REG
1 - 2
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 1
COS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
BAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |