Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAG
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
FCC
2 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
VER
1 - 2
MOD
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
48%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 0
SSS
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
ACM
3 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |