Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
LAQ
2 - 0
MOD
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 3
BOL
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |