Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
NOV
5 - 1
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAG
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SSS
1 - 1
USA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
PRO
4 - 1
SSS
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
SSS
0 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
SSS
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |