Modena vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
15%
26%
59%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 1
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 1
SIE
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
14%
26%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
5 - 2
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |