Modena vs Sampierdarenese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOD
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
MOD
1 - 0
AND
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampierdarenese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 3
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
SAM
0 - 2
BOL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |