Modena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
JUS
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 3
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
SAM
18%
29%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOC
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |