Modena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
VNZ
4 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
7 - 1
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAM
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
ABO
0 - 2
SAM
35%
22%
44%
|
79 | 19 | 60 | 0 |