Modena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
5 - 1
GEN
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SAM
4 - 4
PRO
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
BAR
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
INT
4 - 2
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |