Modena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACM
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 3
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 1
BAR
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
FIO
4 - 3
SAM
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
SAM
6 - 3
SAL
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |