Modena vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACD
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |