Modena vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ABN
2 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRI
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AVE
4 - 3
MOD
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 2
BAR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 2
MOD
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 0
SAS
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BRE
4 - 0
PIS
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 3
RIM
37%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 0
PIS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |