Modena vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
REG
4 - 1
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MOD
4 - 0
FRO
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 3
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
PES
3 - 2
EMP
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
VER
1 - 2
PES
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PES
2 - 2
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PES
2 - 2
RSO
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CTT
3 - 2
PES
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |