Modena vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 0
MOD
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 0
MOD
17%
27%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
VIS
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FCS
4 - 2
MAT
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
MAT
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 2
TRI
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
52%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |