Modena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
USC
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 3
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 1
TAR
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
FCC
3 - 2
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 2
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 0
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |