Modena vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 2
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
MOD
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 2
FRO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 2
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
FRO
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |