Modena vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAS
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FRO
1 - 0
LAQ
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 4
SOR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRO
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |