Modena vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
RAV
1 - 1
MOD
32%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 0
MOD
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 2
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MOD
3 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CES
3 - 0
FRO
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
FRO
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
4 - 1
GRO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 0
FRO
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |