Modena vs Fermana analysis

Modena Fermana
62 ELO 47
6.9% Tilt -14.6%
470º General ELO ranking 5064º
35º Country ELO ranking 176º
ELO win probability
75.7%
Modena
16.6%
Draw
7.7%
Fermana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
Modena
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
Fermana
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Modena
Fermana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2021
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
Grosseto
GRO
75%
16%
9%
61 45 16 0
19 Dec. 2021
PON
Pontedera
1 - 2
Modena
MOD
25%
27%
48%
61 48 13 0
12 Dec. 2021
MOD
Modena
3 - 2
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
67%
20%
13%
61 51 10 0
05 Dec. 2021
IMO
Imolese
1 - 2
Modena
MOD
22%
27%
51%
60 46 14 +1
28 Nov. 2021
MOD
Modena
6 - 1
Pistoiese
PIS
75%
17%
8%
60 44 16 0

Matches

Fermana
Fermana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2021
VIT
Viterbese
0 - 0
Fermana
FER
52%
25%
23%
48 48 0 0
19 Dec. 2021
FER
Fermana
1 - 1
Virtus Entella
ACD
17%
25%
58%
47 60 13 +1
12 Dec. 2021
OLB
Olbia Calcio
0 - 0
Fermana
FER
56%
24%
20%
47 49 2 0
05 Dec. 2021
REG
Reggiana
2 - 1
Fermana
FER
70%
20%
10%
48 61 13 -1
28 Nov. 2021
FER
Fermana
3 - 0
Imolese
IMO
36%
28%
37%
46 48 2 +2