Modena vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UAR
1 - 1
MOD
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 3
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MOD
4 - 2
RIM
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOD
1 - 1
FER
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
IMO
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 1
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
PAD
11%
23%
66%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
FER
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |