Modena vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RIM
2 - 0
MOD
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 2
IMO
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 0
FAN
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
5 - 0
UAR
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
REG
1 - 0
FCS
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 0
VIS
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |