Modena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
3 - 0
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 4
TRA
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
CRO
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |