Modena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 3
MOD
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 3
FRO
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
MOD
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
ANC
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAL
4 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
CRO
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |