Modena vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
SPA
37%
32%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 3
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASS
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |