Modena vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AXY
0 - 5
MOD
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 0
PSM
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
MOD
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASD
77%
16%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
MOD
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CRE
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
CLA
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
CRE
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |