Modena vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 1
MOD
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAT
0 - 0
MOD
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRO
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
LAT
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
4 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
21%
26%
54%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |