Modena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
3 - 1
PAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 3
PAL
26%
28%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
TRA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |