Modena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 1
CTT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 2
CAR
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
ACD
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |