Modena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |