Modena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 3
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
CRO
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 3
PAD
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
SPE
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 2
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 2
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |