Modena vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
MOD
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 0
USD
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
MOD
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -3 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 1
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PON
4 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
PAV
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
ASD
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 4
USC
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
VAR
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |