Modena vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
MOD
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 3
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 2
VAR
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
4 - 0
SPE
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |