Modena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 3
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SAS
4 - 1
CTT
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 1
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |