Modena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 2
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
3 - 1
GAL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
ABN
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |