Modena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
COM
0 - 1
MOD
63%
23%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASS
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
REG
4 - 0
ASS
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |