Modena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOD
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
TOR
3 - 1
MAN
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
MAN
4 - 2
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |