Modena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOD
68%
23%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 1
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 2
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
52%
29%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
TER
2 - 2
MAN
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
MAN
46%
30%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |