Modena U16 vs Spezia U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+730%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MDN
2 - 2
PSA
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRM
1 - 0
MDN
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MDN
1 - 2
TOR
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
RGN
0 - 1
MDN
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MDN
0 - 4
NPL
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPZ
1 - 1
RGN
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NPL
2 - 0
SPZ
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SPZ
1 - 0
SSL
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 3
SPZ
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SPZ
0 - 0
SAM
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |