Modbury Jets vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
5º
56
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MOD
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 3
MOD
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
ADO
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
5 - 0
ING
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 1
SLF
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
1 - 5
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 0
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 2
NEM
20%
20%
59%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |