Modalcoy A vs Bar Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modalcoy A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 2
PIS
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FIL
7 - 1
MOD
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
MOD
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 2
VED
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bar Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VED
4 - 2
IND
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 7
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PIS
7 - 0
IND
46%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 6
CON
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FIL
8 - 0
IND
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |