Modalcoy A vs Salesiano A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modalcoy A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VED
3 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 1
ESP
40%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CON
5 - 1
MOD
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 4
JUA
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IMP
5 - 0
MOD
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Salesiano A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 3
SAL
32%
23%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 5
FIL
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
INT
4 - 1
SAL
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 5
SAL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 1
VED
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |