Moca vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 2
MOC
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOC
2 - 0
SCR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MOC
1 - 1
RFC
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SCR
1 - 1
MOC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AVR
3 - 0
SCR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 1
AVR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
AFC
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 1
AVR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 1
AVR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |