Moca vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 0
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 2
MOC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
MOC
1 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MOC
2 - 2
SCR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ASF
2 - 3
MOC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 3
ASF
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 3
AFC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
AVR
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 1
DEP
42%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
IRD
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |