Moca vs Jarabacoa analysis


61	ELO	56
-20.9%	Tilt	-2.4%
3581º	General ELO ranking	4149º
5º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

45.5%

Moca

28.7%

Draw

25.8%

Jarabacoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%

28.7%

Draw

0-0

11.6%

1-1

13%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

28.7%

25.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

28

1º

5º

3º

14

4º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	36	37	1º	100%
3º	28	28	2º	0%
2º	28	28	3º	0%
4º	24	24	4º	100%
5º	23	23	5º	100%
6º	21	22	6º	100%
7º	16	16	7º	100%
8º	14	14	8º	100%
9º	6	6	9º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moca

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Oct. 2022	MOC 1 - 1 CFC 35% 29% 37%	60	60	0	0
19 Sep. 2022	CFC 1 - 0 MOC 38% 27% 35%	61	59	2	-1
11 Sep. 2022	UNI 0 - 2 MOC 49% 25% 26%	60	61	1	+1
04 Sep. 2022	MOC 2 - 2 CFC 37% 29% 35%	61	59	2	-1
28 Aug. 2022	DEP 0 - 1 MOC 45% 26% 29%	60	61	1	+1

Matches

Jarabacoa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2022	AVR 1 - 0 JAR 46% 26% 29%	57	56	1	0
04 Sep. 2022	JAR 0 - 2 UNI 40% 28% 32%	58	60	2	-1
29 Aug. 2022	CFC 2 - 1 JAR 45% 27% 28%	59	59	0	-1
20 Aug. 2022	JAR 3 - 4 DEP 35% 27% 38%	60	62	2	-1
15 Aug. 2022	MOC 0 - 0 JAR 37% 30% 33%	60	61	1	0