Moca vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
MOC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 2
CFC
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
MOC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 2
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 2
CFC
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
JAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |