Moca vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
MOC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOC
0 - 0
JAR
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MOC
0 - 0
UNI
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
JAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
UNI
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
MOT
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
CFC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |