Moca vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 0
MOC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOC
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
MOC
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOC
2 - 1
JAR
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 0
CFC
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
CFC
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 0
AVR
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CFC
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |