Ponsacco vs Sporting Trestina analysis


30	ELO	36
-14.3%	Tilt	-9.6%
9467º	General ELO ranking	6074º
341º	Country ELO ranking	220º
ELO win probability

35.6%

Ponsacco

24.6%

Draw

39.9%

Sporting Trestina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%

24.6%

Draw

0-0

5.3%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.6%

39.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-1%

-6%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

17º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

14º

18º

17º

41

4º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	68	68	1º	100%
2º	65	65	2º	100%
3º	63	63	3º	100%
4º	59	59	4º	100%
5º	58	58	5º	100%
6º	55	55	6º	100%
7º	52	52	7º	100%
8º	50	50	8º	100%
9º	49	49	9º	100%
10º	43	43	10º	100%
11º	43	43	11º	100%
12º	42	42	12º	100%
13º	41	41	13º	100%
14º	38	38	14º	100%
15º	29	29	15º	100%
16º	28	28	16º	100%
17º	21	21	17º	100%
18º	17	17	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponsacco

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
03 Sep. 2023	ACA 3 - 1 MPO 49% 25% 26%	33	37	4	0
27 Aug. 2023	SDT 1 - 2 MPO 71% 17% 12%	31	45	14	+2
14 May. 2023	MPO 1 - 0 SPO 28% 25% 47%	30	37	7	+1
07 May. 2023	ACS 2 - 2 MPO 55% 24% 21%	30	37	7	0
30 Apr. 2023	MPO 1 - 1 FLA 23% 23% 54%	29	38	9	+1

Matches

Sporting Trestina

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Aug. 2023	SPO 0 - 0 SAN 44% 25% 31%	35	33	2	0
03 Aug. 2023	SPO 0 - 3 PRG 6% 15% 79%	35	71	36	0
31 Jul. 2023	ASG 2 - 0 SPO 80% 14% 6%	36	57	21	-1
14 May. 2023	MPO 1 - 0 SPO 28% 25% 47%	37	30	7	-1
07 May. 2023	SPO 2 - 2 OST 36% 26% 38%	36	40	4	+1